Thread: Bankruptcy
View Single Post
Old 07-25-2022 | 05:52 PM
  #1039  
CaptainSlow
Quarantined
 
Joined: Mar 2018
Posts: 181
Likes: 0
Default

Originally Posted by Excargodog
And reality still doesn’t change when you go ad hominem. And yeah, BB- is junk too, although it’s a marginally higher class of junk than B-. But then they have a debt of about $3 Billion rather than ten times that amount, and two companies fighting to purchase them despite their debt.

And I too am talking about outlooks, but the rating plays a part in that, because the rating determines the coupon you must pay to get people to buy your bonds when you MUST refinance, and the outlook also affects that. Currently the Fed indicates it’s going to continue to raise rates - up to 3.4%. That’s an outlook. Historically, corporations rated B- (and stable) who sell bonds wind up paying a coupon of about 500 basis points (5%) above the Fed rate. What’s $35 billion times 8.3%? Is that a greater or lesser amount than the current $2 annual debt service?

There is your outlook.

But like I said, if you desire to count keyboard coup by pretending the FED situation isn’t important as far as “outlook” or a B- rating doesn’t affect outlook in the current business environment, go for it. Reality still doesn’t change.

I’m done man. It’s like talking to a self assured brick wall. In your mind this analysis is superior to the outlook of a NRSRO. Go ahead and google it, I’ll wait.

If only other people would have thought of the economy as a whole when doling out ratings and outlooks. It sure seems like quite the oversight to discount all that, but maybe they’ll read your analysis and update their ratings to adequately account for risk in the current environment.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Reply