Originally Posted by
goodridecowboy
I think we're getting into the realm of NHs needing to understand the difference between healthy attrition and attrition. Attrition overall has always been viewed because no airline has been in the position of unhealthy attrition in 20+ years. But the rate at which we lose senior FOs and junior captains is astoundingly bad for the airline model, and unsustainable, as has been posted and talked about dozens of times.
If I'm a NH, I want there to be movement, not just attrition. A savvy NH may understand that in 12 months there will be no captains left to operate the jet, and being 70% in domicile as an FO doesn't do you any good when the other seat is only half staffed and we're looking down the barrel of a recession.
Here’s unhealthy. Just 30 upgrades awarded Aug 1. So roughly 130-140 awards in the last four months- while losing more then 130 CA each month.
SkyWest is losing more captains each single month than it’s gaining in four.
Company still months away from seeing the post Covid trainees reach 1000hrs. Many of those are terribly delayed in the pipeline. Then an FO gets a few hundred hours and can suddenly get $90/hour at Frontier.
As of today the only reason to stay and upgrade at a regional is you’re hellbent on flying midnights for the package carriers. I can’t understand SGU dragging their feet on a new contract for those willing to stay.