Thread: Moving On
View Single Post
Old 08-15-2022 | 01:38 PM
  #38  
Cyio
Gets Weekends Off
5 Years
Line Holder
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined: Mar 2017
Posts: 4,174
Likes: 157
Default

Originally Posted by MtnPeakCruiser
The last figure I saw was somewhere between 37 to 38 billion in debt. The world’s largest airline has negative equity. Someone once pointed out to me that with miles programs that legacies are essentially financial institutions with an aircraft fleet, and that their balance sheets are incredibly more favorable if you include the value of their miles programs. But I think the incorrect assumption there is that the airline and the credit (miles) program are the same entity; to my knowledge they’re purposely separate. And why would they scrap the value in their miles programs to save the books on a sinking airline when it’s easier to head straight for the debt iceberg and figure it out in Chapter 11? Sounds eerily similar to when AA declared BK in 2011 with 25 billion in assets (10 billion in cash) and over 29 billion in debt.

I may have gone off on a tangent.

The point is, I think this is part of AA’s business plan. I think it’s a foregone conclusion that when a recession comes again, AA will re-execute its plan and history will repeat itself again. And I do think they lean heavily on the notion that our government won’t allow their name to fail. However, if politics mean anything, I think them house/senate boys down in Texas would love to see an AA in BK during Biden’s administration.
They absolute are financial institutions operating as airlines. In fact there have been numerous videos done on the topic.
This one is particularly well done.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ggUduBmvQ_4
Reply