Originally Posted by
chrisreedrules
The real story is how many CAs and CA-qualified FOs do regionals have on their seniority lists. Because new hires aren’t an issue. Regional CAs are the issue. As for the big pay increases I suspect there will be some shuffling of regional pilots between carriers, but that’s about it. Ultimately the solution for regionals is for the flying to be done on a mainline seniority list by mainline pilots. Money to stay at a regional only works to a point.
New hires are an issue if you are throwing around terms like “exponentially”. But yeah, the MOST limiting factor currently is losing CAs and high 121 time FOs before you can generate enough additional CAs and high 121 time FOs to replace them, which creates a negative feedback loop. But there is hardly an “exponential” amount of ATP eligible waiting in the wings either..l