Originally Posted by
Bluedriver
I can see you don't make serious posts.
Look at the retirement numbers between Spirit and JetBlue, spirit is a much younger pilot group. The average age of a new hire major airline pilot would statistically prove to be reliable in showing that those hired later, are on average younger, and spirits group, I believe, trends even younger than normal.
But at the end of the day, each committee WILL have the DOH data to show the arbitrator, and will have the models to show the future seniority progression destruction of a straight RS integration.
Future seniority progression is a known thing, not some hypothetical thing. And it's just as important and relevant as your current relative seniority. You can't have all of one, without taking from the other when age varies as much as it does between these groups.
Nobody on the JB list will get "a thousand younger NK pilots above" them when going from pure DOH to pure RS. The maximum is 800 extra NK pilots.
It is impossible for me to see how many of those are younger, but based on DOH vs RS, it looks like the biggest hiring gap is 8 years, most of the time its around 6, and until 2002, DOH favors NK. Pure Guess, worst case scenario, is for a 2005 JB guy getting an extra 400 younger guys ahead. And pure RS wont happen.
At 27% RS (because of the biggest gap between DOH and RS):
JB #1200 DOH 2006. after merger at DOH #1400 (19%), at RS #2000, at 50% 1600 (22%), so an extra 200 NK in front vs DOH.
NK #800 DOH 2014 after merger at DOH 3300 (45%), at RS #2001, at 50% 2700 (36%), so an extra 1900 JB in front vs RS.
I don't know what is "fair", just don't believe in slinging numbers without backing it up.