Barring a literal Act of Congress or a last second agreement burning the midnight oil, the railroads will be released to euphemistically "seek self help" and/or the railroads will be free to impose a new contract and hire scabs, if they dare. (Didn't NWA do the latter with the NWA mechanics in 2005?(*))

Current PEB recommendations

1. Retro pay back to 2020
2. 14% DOS raise, raises to 24% by 2024
3. $5,000 bonus. Trivial to major airline pilots, significant to the average working man.

Sticking points scheduling and staffing. Not to mention EIGHT of the TWELVE unions involved with this deal are ready to sign off on current proposals. (Ah, union politics. Byzantine to the extreme. Embrace the inner Turk)

My bet is they'll burn the midnight oil and hash out something before Friday. Love to see if Congress would do anything (not a party endorsement AT ALL. Current speaker's party has a platform that's nominally "pro union". This is definitely a metal-meets-the-meat moment. This won't even be a blip in the "national conversation" until Friday +10 days. Airlines? More like Self help-day -10.) Very instructive to see the RLA process in action.


Best case scenario: Delta ALPA in a "down-to-the-wire" negotiation in a year or so.


(*) - Yeah, about a billion caveats to all of that. "The past is never dead. It's not even past." - W. Faulkner

Oh, and feel free to take potshots any any of the above. This is only how I understand the RLA process via APC and the ALPA MEC videos.