Originally Posted by
ShyGuy
Ok, using your example. If Delta gets the $350 and none of the other airlines get a TA well then you’re #2 behind DL and ahead of AA, UA, SW, and B6 who are still in the 285 range until their new contacts.
Case 1 - No legacy gets a contract. Alaska #1
Caae 2 - Only 1 legacy gets a contract. You’re #2 behind them.
Case 3 - 2 airlines get a contract. Depending on their payrate, yours may go up after averaging all 5. Regardless, you’re no worse than #3.
Case 4 - Big 3 get a contract, not SW or B6. You get averaged of the 5, your payrate goes higher than current AS TA book.
Case 5 - All 5 get a TA by then. You get the avg of all 5. Our pay goes up big time.
What scenario do you not like?
cases 1 and 2 we get 4% which is below inflation. Thats a problem.
Case 3. those 2 airlines would have to have major increases in order to cancel out the bottom 2 for us to see a raise above 4%.
Case 4. Those 3 airlines still have to hit $340 to cancel out the 4th.
Case 5 is the only scenario where we might see an increase above $318 in '23.
Remember, this all has to happen in 11 months
it was designed to fail.