Originally Posted by
But seriously
I really don’t see the big deal in letting the TA 1 vote close (on either side). It was likely to fail before, but it’s practically certain to fail now. Everyone knows that so it’s baked in. If the TA vote closes at 90% against on NOV 1, what’s to stop a new TA being agreed to on NOV 2, or 10, or 30?
They wanted to postpone the vote to avoid the embarrassment of a large NO vote, but that result is clearly expected now, so it really wouldn’t be big news.
While I agree with your sentiment…
Consider this scenario…
after all this BS on TA1, the economy still sux and stock portfolios are in the gutter and many people don’t have any cash for a down payment on a house.
What if they were to let TA1 close and it passes by 50.1%
I think this is a very far fetched scenario, but take into account that UAL ALPA has never voted down a TA. (This is what I’ve been told, correct me if I’m wrong)
While I would be willing to take those odds and I believe it will get shot down with a +90% no vote, consider the politics here.
If UAL ALPA gambles AND allows the minute chance that it will pass, what would happen if it did?
ALPA would be decertified and gone IMO if it passed. Do u think ALPA notational will allow UAL ALPA to effectively go “All in” on a no vote for TA1? I don’t. In July I was confident it would get voted down. Now that we are further down the rabbit hole, I still think we are a hard no, but there’s definitely some uncertainty and doubt that could screw us up. This is probably why they didn’t let TA1 close in July.
Therefore…it stands to reason with the politicians in charge, expect another extension of the vote until the end of Nov or early Dec.
The vote will not close on for TA1 or TA2 on Nov 1st.