Originally Posted by
Tini
Except that simply isn’t true. I specifically remember having this discussion in undergrad (finance) in 1994 and again in grad school (MBA at at top 15 school) in 2015. There has never been an agreed upon definition of a recession by the NBER regardless of what partisan politics you attempt to interject.
“In 1974, economist Julius Shiskin came up with a few rules of thumb to define a recession: The most popular was two consecutive quarters of declining GDP. A healthy economy expands over time, so two quarters in a row of contracting output suggests there are serious underlying problems, according to Shiskin. This definition of a recession became a common standard over the years.”
Source -
https://www.forbes.com/advisor/inves...s-a-recession/