Originally Posted by
tailendcharlie
I think the next few months will be telling - do enough Allegiant pilots finally wake up & look past their next months’ home-every-night schedule to realize the long-term implications of missing this hiring wave? If you see attrition start to snowball to where it’s 25,30,40 per month then this place won’t be able to downsize or recalibrate fast enough to avoid meltdown.
If it continues at the current 15 or 20 per month then I think with some targeted base closings & downsizing they can still make it work enough to remain viable.
It'll only take a month or two of large attrition to bring things to meltdown mode. The downside with the microbase strategy is, if 3-4++ guys bail in a given month from a microbase, the base falls apart and basically shuts down. We saw this to a lesser extent earlier this year when half the LA FO's bailed in about a month.