Originally Posted by
KnockKnock
Disclaimer, anything and everything can happen. That said, I see it playing out like this. DAL signs in Jan, UAL and AA within 2-3 months after. Let's call it April. SW doesn't sign prior to Sept 1 '23. JB is a wild card because there may be a possibility of them signing something similar to Spirt to bridge the gap to JCBA. So from April-September DAL, UAL and AA are in the 330-337 range, while we sit at 306. Yes, it's a short time but it's still time out of my career.
Okay, but to be fair, this rate was effective 9/1. For a 3 yr contract, lets look at it from year 1, 2, and 3 perspective. Year 1 is now 3 months in. Everyone else is 284 but you are at 306. When is Delta's new payrate effective? I have no idea. How about AA and UA? No idea. But if you are saying hypothetically that it's April-Sept 1, then yes that's 5 months where they are at 336 and you're at 306. But that ignores September 2022 to April 2023, the 7 months you were at 306 when they were at 284. Just being fair, I don't see how you take offense at their higher payrate for the 5 months, but ignore your own higher rate than them for 7 months.
Barring VERY quick effective dates, Sept 1 2022 - Sept 1 2023 is either a wash OR goes in our favor from a pay perspective.
Sept 1, 2023 depends on who has contracts in place by then. Can't predict accurately at the moment. What is fair to say is that by Sept 1, 2024, all big 4 airlines will have new contracts and I *highly* doubt we will at 330.97 that year. It will be higher - how much remains to be seen.