My reasoning being under a jcba with competitive pay and benefits more routes and more planes we will rival legacies and therefore attrition at both companies should slow. Since both companies have such a young pilot group retirements will have an affect on upgrades. Right now both companies have reasonable upgrade time because of growth in operations and attrition.

I could be very wrong but those were my reasons. I see a relative slow down in growth post merger and integration. I also see a decrease in attrition and even with moderate growth I see a higher average utilization/efficient use of the pilot group decreasing the need for upgrades