Originally Posted by
JoePatroni
I would expect a big shift in that whenever a large part of the domestic flying shifts back to Asia, it could take a while but it will happen eventually.
people say that, but unless they increase the category dramatically that cannot mathematically work.
Now, this exercise assumes a few things:
1. No one ahead or behind is leaving.
2. when the category increases, only people senior will come in.
3. G line is at 80%
4. FO in question is a 75% 777 FO in a base with 400 FOs.
Let's say I'm a 7 month newhire at 75% in category with 400 FOs. Now let's assume the G line is at 80%. The category would have to increase to 500 in order for me to still have the same 100 behind me. So the base would have to have 100 vacancies, ALL filled by guys senior to me in order to push me back to the G line.
There are summer 2022 hires bidding 75% EWR 777 FO