Originally Posted by
KC135
The industry average is close to 3 years after expiration. No airline has ever negotiated in less than 2 years this century except for NK's recent short term deal which just holds them over to the merger (if that happens). We're currently only about 1.5 years after expiration and the company is still passing over many items that are below every other airline including regionals (scope, rigs, vacation etc) so it's very clear they aren't interested in a deal anytime soon. Mid to late 2024 would be best case scenario but 2025-2026 would be more realistic IMO.
For anyone who hasn’t experienced federal mediation, it will soon become apparent how slow & tedious the process is. Coupled with management quite content to live with slow shrinkage while enjoying rock-bottom pilot costs, 2025-2026 seems realistic. Expect it to run the full course with an impasse & possible self-help (& now stand by for all the geniuses to chime in with why the mediator will never “allow” this lol….)