>>Pilot shortage<<

I don't believe there will be a shortage of pilots available until the military starts becoming a nicer place to spend 20-30 years. The fact is that military training is near 20 year highs. Between that training and those working up through regional ranks, I see a pilot glut near term (10 years). Toss in an age 65|62 modification to work rules, and it goes from a moderate glut to a constipated lump in the snake. Now, it may well be the GLUT that will lead to the shortage.

The REALLY big elephant in the room is the military pension system. As long as THAT promise is not broken (hmmm), all that will be required is a lack of overseas war deployments for a few more of those pilots to stay put.

Bern