Keep in mind that the big reason that IAH has grown so much is that they are taking captains where they can get them, not where they are needed. If a new contract largely removes the unfilled captain vacancies on the coast, IAH could either see a NB displacement, or the more likely scenario become extremely stagnant while they fill vacancies where they’re really needed. Once vacancies being filled where needed, expect IAH to move back towards being a senior base and those with current junior awards will be hit the hardest while more senior people bid on top of them for years.