Originally Posted by
First Break
Exhibit A. You could not have made my point more perfectly.
An example to demonstrate:
A pilot has $400k of income at delta. For simplicity sake, let’s say the pilot doesn’t contribute a penny of their own money and only focus on the spill cash.
Said pilot receives $70k of income beyond the 401a17 income limit of $330k, thus generating $11,200 of spill cash for a total income of $411,200 that year. Assuming this pilot is married and filing jointly, they would owe 32% on the $11,200 of spill just for federal income taxes, plus any applicable state income tax, and 1.85% ALPA dues.
So let’s assume they live in a tax-free state. In such case they would have paid 33.85% tax on every dollar of spill they earned that year.
Now, in retirement let’s say the pilot has amassed enough retirement dollars to support a $400k per year withdrawal (not likely unless the pilot has other passive or active income sources, in which case all bets are off as he/she is no longer working within the assumption that their livelihood is dependent on the career we all signed up for- which is the vast majority of our pilots).
In retirement, that pilot would pay 10% of the first $22,000, 12% of the next $67,450, 22% of the next $101,300, 24% of the next $173,450, and finally 32% of the last $35,800. Add all that together, and the pilot will have paid $85,664 of federal income taxes on $400k of retirement plan withdrawals, or an EFFECTIVE tax rate of 21.4%. This pilot is still “in the 32% tax bracket”, but the treatment of dollars on the way OUT is vastly different than the treatment of the dollars on the way IN.
21.4% is the tax rate that compares apples to apples against the marginal rate applicable to spill cash, or in this example 33.85%. It’s this arbitrage that makes a tax-deferred account powerful. Less income in retirement makes the arbitrage even better.
You can't do the math differently in retirement. The last dollar in from MBCBP that saved 33.85% is also the last dollar out being taxed at 32% in retirement. The only savings in your example is 1.85% of ALPA dues.
Without MBCBP, the 11,200 after taxes and dues is reduced to $7,400. Invested in a tax efficient equity like VOO it will outperform the MBCBP considerably. When withdrawn you pay no tax on the 7,400 invested and only 20% LTCG on the gains. Someone who cares about the math can calculate the years and returns required to compare the two. I've done this several times in years past, but am not at my PC to share the spreadsheets.