Originally Posted by
CLazarus
Once we get enough 321LRs on property I’d expect LAX and/or SFO 756 to close as they start to retire frames and consolidate 756 flying further east. So even though LAX 320 is pretty small now and some frames are retiring it will probably grow somewhat as it assumes the 757 transcon/HI role. So, anyone thinking of bidding west coast 320 would be wise to check out the LAX/SFO 756 bid packages. LAS or MCO Bus seems really unlikely to me until maybe the tail end of 321 deliveries, too much near future Bus flying is going to be just like current 756 flying.
Not sure where you are getting your info from. First of all the 321LRs aren't getting here for a few more years (2028) and when they do, they will only be concentrated out of EWR first, then the other east coast bases like IAD then ORD to replace old 757s for transatlantic flights.
The NEOs are still being planned out, but those would be transcon/HI. Right now, LAX 757 does very little HI flying, so no impact there. The 757 will shift a lot more to hub to hub flying which has already begun. The 757 fleet will be here until 2030 minimum. Only the really old ones will go. LAX and SFO 757 bases are going nowhere for a long time.