Originally Posted by
DarkSideMoon
I think that’s particularly optimistic. Kirby has stated the -200’s will get phased out in 2026 replaced by the max 10’s and neos. There are only 20 300’s. At some point the economics of an extra 20 seats don’t outweigh the cost of keeping a fleet that small around. The 76 can be swapped with a 78-8 for about the same operating cost, the 78 announcement hinted at retiring the 76 around 2030, which indicates what CLazarus said about moving the remaining flying east, and the XLRs can do some of the lower capacity long thin routes.
IMO, based on everything management and analysts are saying, I think barring some kind of catastrophic downturn again the 757-200’s will get phased out in 2026, the -300’s will be moved to where most of the 767 flying is (IAH, IAD, EWR) until the 76 phases out in 2030 or so. I don’t think a 20 aircraft fleet can support bases in SFO and LAX.
I really like the 756 fleet and im sad to see it go but I just don’t see a long term market for it when only the smallest niche isn’t filled by existing fleet types. Hopefully it’s an easy transition for the crews when the time comes without much of a QOL hit.
Kirby also said 2 weeks to a contract so he doesn’t know jack. All kidding aside on that when SFO/LAX 756 go away if they are replaced by 321NEO flying at least we will still perform the exact same amount of 767 flying we currently enjoy.