Originally Posted by
Podrick
Woof, just took a look, not great. I hadn't looked at those numbers in probably a year. Crazy how much one year of gangbusters hiring can do. The answer is after 20 years you'd be 40%, so mid seniority narrow body captain. Sorry for the wrong info.
I played with the widget seniority site today. To borrow a quote from a very good friend: "The sell by date was last year."
Talking to friends at both UAL and DAL... yes, contracts and offers look mighty shiny, but the numbers and math simply don't care about one's feelings. And yes, those griping so much have either forgotten the aftermath of 9/11, the Lost Decade and the Great Recession, or they just weren't in the industry back then so they think hiring 2000+ pilots a year is the norm and they fully expect it to go truly indefinitely.
At SWA, I'm expecting to retire in 5-7% overall seniority as a 737 captain. Anywhere else, I'd maybe crack 50% at the end of my career and still be narrowbody captain. Uhhh... I'm a narrowbody captain NOW and I have almost half the seniority list below me now as opposed to a couple of decades from now.
I get the frustration, and I get the anger. Channel that anger and frustration into how you approach voting on any agreement and holding our NC and BOD accountable to delivering a truly industry-leading contract. That's where OUR money is...