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Old 11-04-2023, 07:36 AM
  #10  
rickair7777
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Originally Posted by Excargodog View Post
Perhaps so, but it isn’t just the IRR that has shortfalls. It’s the Active and Reserve of all the services except the Marine Corp. even the Coasties…

https://www.forbes.com/sites/craigho...h=26a759c8648c

.

Some of it recent, some not. Some will still be medically qualified, some won’t. But putting people through basic is going to take at least ten weeks AFTER you get a draft law passed, deal with court challenges if females are not included in the draft (if we can even define who is a female or male and who identifies as something else) and all the admin and logistics actually get done to get them to the training centers which don’t currently have a lot of excess capacity either and - yeah, often aren’t in tremendous shape

https://www.military.com/daily-news/...s-lack-of.html

https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-23-105797.pdf

(nor, for that matter, are your would be draftees).

https://americanmilitarynews.com/202...n-study-finds/

But let’s assume we overcome those hurdles and get those people through basic training and in some modest form of physical and mental fitness.
That gets you a bare E-1 who can probably wear a uniform with only minor faux pas’s. Technical schools to actually use the highly advanced equipment an take anywhere from three weeks to 2 years. Of course, that would require the defense industrial base to spin up as well, something the Ukraine War is showing us is much easier said than done.
That would only be required in the event of a fundamental shift in geo-politics, which would take time.

Any realistic major conflict we'd be looking at would be a fight tonight, with what you have scenario. It will be over relatively quickly. It's *vastly* more important to have the force structure on hand to deter or prevail in such a conflict, than to worry about deep reserves or conscription. Force structure can include drilling reserves, especially if they're smart about what part-timers can stay current on, and what they cannot.

If things go horribly wrong and we somehow end up in WW-III, and it somehow drags out without going to nuclear, then we'll will have time for reserves, draft, Rosie the Riveter, etc, etc
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