As of right now, no one that has been at AA for under 3 years has been awarded WB FO. It will come down once it "jumps the gap" of the year that AA didn't hire, but as of now, it hasn't jumped the gap. The most junior WB FO was hired in March 2020, and the award has an effective date of March 2024, so 4 years.

It is possible on the next award that it could go junior to this, but it is not a guarantee. There are many awards in which they go senior to the award before it. The pilots awarded 777 FO on the Sept 2023 award, for instance, have not had anyone junior to them awarded 777 FO in the subsequent 2 awards.

So, as of now, time to hold WB FO is just about 4 years and we will see what happens on the next award. The vacancy should open in late November of the first week of December. It *could* drop to 2 years at that point, but it is highly unlikely.