Thread: TA discussion
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Old 12-23-2023 | 11:38 AM
  #315  
Profane Kahuna
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Originally Posted by flyguy81
Kit Darby is a no talent ass clown who couldn’t find his way out of a paper bag. Nobody can accurately predict earnings over a 20-30+ yr career. Takes too many assumptions that just aren’t realistic. All you have is a snapshot in time and whether or not you’re lucky/unlucky enough to be there at that moment.

Look at Zap’s career path (sorry, man) vs someone hired 23 yrs ago. One career was fraught with recessions, mergers, downgrades and furloughs while the other benefited from 6 figure signing bonuses and a career trajectory mirroring the Atlas rocket.

I doubt ‘Ol Darby predicted the aftermath of 9/11, age 65, Rona, etc. He can’t predict whether someone will bypass for QOL or bid for the crappiest schedule possible because it pays. He’s going for the absolute best case scenario…which just isn’t possible for 99% of us.
He is certainly a snake oil salesman..... but math is math and the numbers show higher career earnings at United / Delta / American to the tune of $5,700,000 for a 25 yr newhire.

Normally I would say that is unrealistic because who gets hired at 25? but these days ALL the majors are hiring people even younger than that as soon as they hit 1,500 hours.

Great time to be a young pilot!

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