I doubt anyone's laying off pilots over this. "Recession" looks like soft landing, and summer travel is expected to boom. The big guys won't stop hiring, if you furlough pilots you'll never get them back, and future applicants will be less enthusiastic to apply to the only significant airline to furlough in many years (not counting covid, since that didn't stick).


Worst case might be more EIL if they don't get enough voluntary LOAs. But I don't think it will even go that long.