As a late 2000 hire, the first time I could and did hold 765, A330, A350, was the November 2023 bid. I got A330 NYC. This most recent mock bid shows pilots junior to me holding A330 in ATL, and DTW, I didn't really check SEA, and A350 at all 3 bases.....in 2 months. I know the gap between me and a 2014 hire is around 2000 numbers, so not a lot, but a lot of movement is happening right now at the top, which hasn't happened in my career. I hope it lasts, but this kind of movement that's happening, might be once in a career/generation....so my advice, for what it's worth, is grab your seat now, if it's what you want, even if you're stuck on the bottom for a couple years till you can bid back down for seniority.

Trip's prediction is looking more and more likely in the next year or two, assuming things stay healthy in the industry. I wouldn't be surprised if the wall falls by next year at this time.

EDIT: I haven't even started training but before this bid even finalizes, two months after I'm on the line as a newly minted A330 Captain, I'll be better than 80% in the category 😉