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Old 01-20-2024 | 11:18 AM
  #4385  
Stayontarget
Almost there
 
Joined: Apr 2021
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Originally Posted by LifetimeCFI
They're getting backed up. They canceled the Feb class and had about 40 planned for it. Of those 40 about 23 were cadets. 2 got bumped up into January the rest are waiting for the first available class date.

Speaking of. They may not have a March class. Apparently attrition wasn't what they expected.. Lost fewer pilots than anticipated when they went to day turns.

They are going to decide within 2 weeks if there will be a March class. If there isn't, Feb folks get April. March folks get May or longer depending on how they divy slots up.

If you interviewed in the fall I have no idea where you will be placed. The two guys they hired the day I visited were told by the hiring folks that it's about a 6 month wait. You honest to god might be looking at May or June at this point.

Now if they do cancel their March class.. Good sign for the company as the attrition isn't terrible but inevitably it probably will pick up for a variety of reasons. I'm curious if we see a situation where there is no March class, or perhaps a very small one, but a large April one as they start to get hit with higher attrition... I don't pretend to know.

Who told you this in HQ?

Ive heard otherwise from Check airmen and Management. In the end it doesn’t really matter. All that matters is when you class date really comes and what our attrition really ends up being.

Again, we are now at 15.4 pilots per plane. Open time is a ghost town and has been for a while. So Ive revised the number of pilots needed to only 15 per plane and we still would need to hire about 35 per month to cover the fleet. That assumes the 30% attrition rate continues and no aircraft groundings. Either one of those can change the equation overnight.

Also, as plane joe mentions. We haven’t moved to day trips yet. It takes 3-6 months for a complete schedule change. It won’t really start happening until spring. So how can they know how much people love it?
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