Originally Posted by
game
Does this signal the end of probationary pilots getting Captain awards? Are we entering an era of more traditional seniority progression now that the crest of retirement tidal wave has passed in 2023? What say you tea leaf people?
I'm usually 100% wrong in anything I try and predict in aviation, so maybe this will age like milk and 2014+ hires will see WBA later this year
Data somewhat supports this, especially those hired today. I was hired summer 23 and have moved 1% in seniority coming in at 92% in February. Keeping that math going, I will be 87% in July which is 73N A plug territory making an award in just about a year on property. With the MAX delays, it could push it out even longer. All subject to change of course, past performance not indicative of future results.