Originally Posted by
Sliceback
FY1981 - 1987 washout rate - 27%, USAFA - 25%. Remove FY87 (37% washout rate!?) the rate drops to 25% overall and 20% for USAFA SUPT candidates.
FY90-96 - washout rate overall 17%, USAFA 15%.
Now more like 5%(??).
https://www.aetc.af.mil/Portals/88/D...-12-160013-593
The question is how relevant are those numbers? There are many possible explanations behind that trend. Maybe after several decades of UPT, we're getting better at making our training more effective. Maybe as training costs rise, we have become more selective about who we bring into UPT. Maybe technology like glass cockpits has made flying easier. Maybe tools like the internet and youtube and VR and flight sims make it more likely that students that would have washed out 40 years ago are now understanding aviation concepts better and they are able to graduate. Maybe the focus is less about how many screws are in some obscure component we can't see or control and more about flying the damn plane.
Were pilots and retirees in 1996 clutching their pearls about the washout rate being reduced by ~40%? Did that mean the AF was broken and a massive safety hazard from 97-07? Somehow I don't think that is the case.