Originally Posted by
TransWorld
Orders are mostly future deliveries, not much the next few years. Holding on to their existing aircraft, the airlines are going to be short, relative to planned growth and desired aircraft retirements.
And don't forget that freight train of massive retirements. We may have hit the peek, but they are still happening. When deliveries of aircraft start ramping up, pilot hiring demand will be revealed, once again.
Plenty of time to get the Aviates, Cadets, 225, whatever flow programs up to full steam. By then the demand for already trained pilots from other airlines could be reduced significantly. Will it stop? No probably not. But it’s certainly more competitive and you’re behind thousands of 22 year olds.
Looking at the United pause as an example. “United Aviate and United Military will remain at the top of hiring priorities once new hire classes resume.”
I have no idea how much the flows contributed to the last few years of legacy hiring. 1500 per year??