There's a LOT of short term uncertainty about United's staffing needs. Nobody is delivering airplanes on schedule, the regionals finally have captains again. There's the potential for really major short term swings in CJO to class timing.

There's essentially ZERO long term uncertainty about whether current united CJO's are coming to class. It's gotta 110% suck to be waiting ... but this isn't an issue like spirit. Every factor points toward united to continue to need to add people - they have about 50 pilots/month retiring for the next decade - they have to hire.