Originally Posted by tennisguru

I think this is a big factor right now. With GS/SS going out heavily in a lot of categories, it's not too hard for a senior FO to make big bucks without working terribly hard if you know how to work the system. Upgrading right now might net a bigger W-2 at the end of the year by a little bit but probably for a lot more days worked. Plus the senior FO is guaranteed every key day off in the year that they want. I would agree that if green slips dry up that will drive upgrade more senior for a while. The question is what would cause staffing to improve so much that GS become rare? I don't see the company intentionally hiring up to that point, so the only thing that would cause it would be a major slowdown in the economy or another black swan. The recession that was supposed to happen over a year ago still hasn't materialized, so it seems like we've got a few years until the next "normal" recession comes around.