Originally Posted by
Request20Right
Looking at the seniority progression at United, has me being 75% in 2051. Granted that's with no growth, and United plans to hire I think another 7,000 Pilots in the next many years. It's a lofty goal for sure. Sure we are having our max 7 delays right now.
Sure there is an LAX base for United and it's junior, but I see people with comparable seniority to me in base on the 737 (1 year in) and they don't have as good a schedule or ability to move stuff around like at SWA. I could do rhe 787 out of LAX eventually but I looked at the bid packets and there are only like 4 or 5 locations they go to from there. To me it just doesn't seem as glamorous as it once was when I was a student pilot. I think I'm chasing the chase. And I guess what I'm realizing is that a jet is a jet and at the end of the day it's a job.
I am not letting this Elliot thing affect my decision since largely it's outcome is out of my control. Hopefully this forces the company to innovate and we could be seeeing our best years yet.
Are you sure about that 75% at 2051 part? Use 17000 as a reference, 75 percent put the number at 12750 or 4250 retirements. Spread out 27 years that’s only 157 retirements per year. This is assuming no growth at all and no early retirements. In 27 years we will lose more than 13000 pilots due to retirements and 4000/17000 put you at about 23 percent. I suspect you had the two percentage backwards.