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Old 07-02-2024 | 08:46 PM
  #216  
LifetimeCFI
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Originally Posted by Seminole00
Are you sure about that 75% at 2051 part? Use 17000 as a reference, 75 percent put the number at 12750 or 4250 retirements. Spread out 27 years that’s only 157 retirements per year. This is assuming no growth at all and no early retirements. In 27 years we will lose more than 13000 pilots due to retirements and 4000/17000 put you at about 23 percent. I suspect you had the two percentage backwards.
Definitely wrong. Also 29, they would hit 50% in roughly 15 years. Retire somewhere inside of 1000, I think.
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