Originally Posted by
GoodJet
While that is true it is fairly easy to see the issues with overstaffing and fleet reductions going forward.
Boeing is key. Right now there is a 6-7 year wait to get a new 787. Sure all of the HA options could make it on property. MAX 10 there is a 2 year wait after the engine cowls are redesigned. It's up to the Feds yet again when Boeing can increase production of approved airframes.
Airbus. I don't have any SA on the timeline for deliveries on the 330. I can't imagine that it is a very short waitlist or that Air Group could source new aircraft or even used aircraft in a timely manner.
If there are any kind of reductions, either the 321 or 717 in the present environment for deliveries there will be a lot of pain when it comes to an SLI, displacements and downgrades. Things could work out in the distant future but for now I agree with AKCattlecarrier. The next 3-5 years the best outcome is that nothing changes quickly or at all.
I agree with all this and what AKCattlecarrier says, I cannot for the life of me understand why an Alaska pilot, other than maybe a commuter out of the islands would want this merger.
Boggles my mind the newer pilots I fly with are excited about it, yet they complain about the current stagnation. The merger is not even approved and we are getting almost monthly email threats of downgrades and displacements. I have no idea of the time frame, but I think it’s a safe bet if this goes through, the 717, 321, and 330 are gone as quickly as they can make it happen and HNL shrinks substantially, despite all their unicorn and rainbows rhetoric. If this merger is approved it will make the current level of stagnation at Alaska look tolerable.