Originally Posted by Sliceback

1,000 pilots a year?

The Big 3 are going to have about 2000 retirements each year for the next decade. Right now it's closer to 2500. Addin the next tier of major jobs and it's a couple hundred more.

No one has 'dibs' on a job. Are their resumes better by having Part 121 experience at NK, FX and to a smaller degree Air Wisconsin. But there are no 'dibs'.

Airline growth mirrors at, or slightly less then, GDP. That's another 900 +\- at the Big 3. Add in the next tier of 'destination' jobs and the annual demand and that's another 300+ pilots per year.

Seems like the long term demand looks more like 3,500 +/- pilots. Boeing's estimate is 6,000 a year for N. America.