Originally Posted by
StoneQOLdCrazy
So the younger pilots who a couple months ago were being shaded for having "perfect" careers may in fact have to weather some bad times?
I have never met anyone with the my level of critical thinking. This means my opinions often times go against the grain.
That being said:
The country added jobs
50 countries have asked for expedited tariff negotiations
Domestic demand (except DCA) is still quite high, most foreigners don’t fly our metal anyways. It’s easier to just send pax to AMS and let them take care of the balance.
There is still a plane shortage, parking 757s would just mean furloughing and having to retrain at a later date. It would reduce substantial lift and KILL a quick recovery when this thing flashes over.
Furloughs and displacements can take 9 months, recovery takes 18 months. We are retiring 500 a year, that’s 1500 over the same time period.
Our fleet mix doesn’t make MDs efficient. We have the most diverse fleet.
How long can other countries hang onto tariffs vs the USA? Here is a hint. How many countries have trade ports on both coasts, two major oceans, a rail and highways system, colleges, energy, metals, skilled labor, education opportunities, clean air, clean water, food and an undefeated Navy to protect all that and enforce trade on the open seas? You know the answer. Trust me, most of these countries are screaming behind closed doors trying to asses how long they can economically hang on and how to exit this dilemma while saving their political butts.
My .02, you’ll be ok. You could end up stuck for a while, but not 99% system seniority for half a decade.
I think you are good to go.
Now if nukes go off in Iran and NK, AND China goes after Taiwan AND the US steps in AND Russia decides to slaughter themselves in Poland, you might end up flying CRAF as half your classmates and everyone retired with the past five years will get recalled.