Sure, if one comes from the standpoint of nothing in life being guaranteed, then you're right. However, hard work, perseverance and attitude will guarantee success in aviation as much as these qualities would in any other career path. In this context, it is absolutely true. This is what this thread is about; Choosing or changing career paths. Anyone (not talking about you) that unconditionally advises against an aviation career is overly pessimistic. This is why I stay on SkyHigh for his negativity towards the profession. Aside from his exceptions (independantly wealthy, sugar momma etc.) it is not a viable option for anyone with modest means in his mind.....which is BS.

Yes, a little luck can be involved but hard work, attitude and perseverance prevails. It is these elements that will get one through the bad luck times because success has more to do with how you get up when you're knocked down. If you get back up enough, you make your own "luck".