Originally Posted by
Workhard
This is accurate. If Indigo decides it’s not a good business and leaves, it is def a similar situation like spirit real quick, or even worse. BB gets reallllll sensitive every time Jamie Baker from jpmorgan gets onto him about the sale leasebacks, like in today’s questions answer session for earnings. The banks are real skeptical. A lot of airlines are struggling. The difference with most is they have assets. For more comparable for size… JetBlue, they have a huge asset pool with gates and slots and own a bunch of planes and have roughly 3.8b in liquidity with more to leverage against. Frontier does not. Frontier has 700 million and no assets.They have planes they count on for sell leasebacks. It’s not the end of the world right now, but it definitely is not good, which is why stock fell 15% today and investors ran. They are completely skeptical.
To add on to this, there was another caller who really layed into BB about their 3 years of meh/loss and questioned their return to profits and their direction..... He got REALLY defensive, it was towards the end.
Barclays: Hey, good morning everyone. Thanks for taking the question. And Barry, I ask this with the most respect, but I guess it’s been two or three years now where we’ve seen a clear divergence in profitability between those that maybe have transatlantic routes and those that don’t. But there’s a narrative that there’s a structural shift happening. I guess, what’s gonna change looking forward? Because you guys have a huge order book. You’re taking deliveries, yet shrinking capacity. So how do we reconcile the outlook here versus an order book and an industry that needs to shrink? And I guess, where do you fit into that? And how do we hit that ever elusive double digit pretax margin?
BB: Yeah. Look. I I don’t take offense. I mean, I didn’t buy wide bodies ten years ago, and maybe I’d love to have them. But I I think history shows that, you know, there’s there’s periods of time where international is really good.
I go back to late nineties. The legacies were minting money on international. It really helped, really helped. Their corporate was really good, and low cost actually underperformed. You flipped a few years later, well, those fortunes change.
I think what’s become clear, and we actually think the model is now vindicated, is this is not a model issue. If you go look under the hood, this is a domestic oversupply issue, period. And what we now see is that these larger carriers and small, in some cases, competitors will be reducing capacity in The United States. Full stop. And we then, with the lowest costs and one of the cleanest balance sheets, will be a huge beneficiary of that.