Originally Posted by
Cujo665
my track record of reading my crystal ball has been majority correct for well over a decade & a half. If you knew me, you’d know it’s true.
predicted several bankruptcies well over a year in advance.
predicted several airlines that would be out of business, bought sold or merged over a year in advance (Including the most recent Mesa one)
called the pilot shortage looming back in 2011, 4 years before management’s crapped their pants and started throwing huge improvements at pilots. Had Covid not happened, a few regionals would have vanished even sooner.
predicted that FO would not need to upgrade at a regional to go to a legacy. (That’s over by the way)
you will see legacies reintroducing higher preferred minimums including PIC requirements again. So Leaving your regional to get Airbus time at an LCC to jump to a legacy isn’t going to work well going forward now. Upgrade, and getting 1000 TPIC will become the golden ticket again. At the same time, you can expect the whipsaw game to start again pushing for concessions and cost cutting…..
now, there’s some real prognostication for you.
Pretty sure he was referencing the “3032” typo, but yeah I’m with you in broad strokes…at least through 2032 or so.
Though there was some recent APC RUMINT that United had been looking at candidates without TPIC (or at least significant amounts) recently again, assuming they checked other boxes.
Agree that’s it’s quite a roll of the dice to count on that, though. “Upgrade and get 1000 TPIC” is much more conservative advice.