I will say that NB Captain upgrade timelines will fall between 2-5 years dependent on where the vacancies are at with SFO, LAS, and EWR falling on the junior side and every other CA domicile being on longer side of that timeline…

So it will be dependent on if you are ok taking a jr captain slot in SFO and EWR and be willing to live with that decision for awhile…

We have a ton of FO who waited for new contract dust to settle before taking the upgrade who are stuck in bases that aren’t their first choice ie commuting to EWR or have been iced out from being to upgrade to a CA seat in their desired base (DCA is a great example of this)…

Like others have said, if there’s a big CA NB vacancy this winter, I expecting that there will be movement of CAs who was stuck in coastal bases to bid out, FOs who have been iced out to upgrade in their desired base, coastal bases to be available for more junior folks if they want the upgrade…