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If you're a pure numbers guy you'd know we've hired like 6,000 pilots since that junior BOS CA was hired. And to get to that level you're looking at around 15 years of retirements. Incorrect, 6000 mandatory retirements is around 9 years, not 15.
In no way shape or form is a 5 year NB CA senior at AA. I said the most senior NB upgrade time at American is BOS 737–which is currently 5 years.
Keep in mind AA has hired a boatload of pilots in the past five years, with thousands retiring between when that Jr BOS CA was hired and today. American—Delta—United have all hired a boatload of pilots in the last five years. How many pilots five years ago gave up on their pursuit be hired at a legacy because they “missed the wave”.
That CA is around 50% (Wrong) on the seniority list (8000/16000) (Wrong) and it would take you around 15 years (Wrong) to reach that level if hired today. That 12-15 upgrade into BOS isn't that far off (Wrong). By 2040 AA will have retired 8000 pilots (Finally! That’s correct!), so if hired in Jan 2026 you'd reach 50% at age 51. (So you’re assuming American will have the same total pilots from 2026-2040? Zero growth in 15 years?)
Of course this assumes little relative growth over that time frame, so take it or leave it.