We have 278 more MAX planes, 214 more 321 NEO/XLR and 141 more 787s being delivered by 2030. That's 633 more planes. Sure about 150 of those will replace older planes and we have still not announced an order for the 777-200s which is still a few months away from an announcement. If we add almost 500 planes to the fleet we will be at 28,000 or pretty close. This means a pilot hired today, with attrition will be between 50-60% total system seniority in 5 years.

I have no idea if it will happen and since I retire in 2030 doesn't matter that much. But its nice for the young guys to have a better career than many of my friends hired after me that got stuck on the bottom for many years.