Originally Posted by
aerow88
I think his projections are spot on. As a 24 hire, I'm guesstimating I'll be able to hold the left seat plug 73 spot in ORD around spring of '28, and the last 2 vacancy bids would indicate thats a reasonable timeline.
I grew up in the south knowing delta guys on furlough throughout my young adult years. I think anyone losing sleep over having a 4-5 year flow to the left seat probably needs to stay in the right seat and gain perspective anyways.
That's my $0.02.
What indicates that you could hold ORD737CA in 2028? The last vacancy went only down to 66xx! Yes, those were backfills, but at the very least it seems impossible to know how many pilots between 7k and 16k (assuming you’re around 16k as a 2024 hire) are waiting their turn.
Given that ORD is a more senior base then SFO/LAX, and those bases were in the 13k range for 737CA in the last award, it seems like it may be a longer wait then two more years.