Originally Posted by
C11DCA
By Jan1 2031 UAL will have 3225 mandatory retirements
Jan 1 2036 UAL will have 6027 mandatory retirements.
The next time UAL has less then 400 pilots retire per year (as of today's seniority list) is 2057.
The problem is, those numbers are moving targets. Every new hire over the age of 45, for instance, is going to retire in the next 20 years, and will all add to those current numbers. Granted, we aren’t hiring a lot of 64 year olds so the numbers in the short term numbers won’t change much, but the retiree numbers 20-25 years out will almost certainly be higher than what is currently being shown, and the farther you look out the less accurate those numbers are actually going to be.