Originally Posted by
John Carr
the average dumb “I support Ukraine!!!!” American with the Ukraine flag on the social media/front porch thinks that all those billions we keep sending over there will somehow turn the tide and allow the Ukrainians to push the Russians out.
Maybe dumb Americans really think Ukraine can push Russia out, there's arguably around 50% of Americans who fall into that general category. I've never expressed much hope for Ukraine to actually push Russia out. What I'm hoping for is that Russia comes apart at the seams. I read an article just the other day that talked about how that becomes increasingly likely the longer this war continues, especially as Russia sacrifices upwards of five soldiers for each Ukrainian one and its future economic potential is strangled by the coming decline of hydrocarbons. Sorry I didn't think it was a "development" for this thread and I'll be dammed if I can find it now. Besides, I'd rather not post it and have to see the typical 3ish chaff responses for each article I post.
Anyways, here's another development that I've noticed but have not seen anything really written about. A big advantage Ukraine now has vs. Russia is a fairly "secure" rear echelon, i.e. - Western Europe. Because from here on out Russia only has its Far East, with pretty much anything to the west at risk. Lots of examples from American military history of how tough it is to defeat an enemy who has a secure rear echelon. While Ukraine is not capable of laying waste to entire factories or refineries at will, it has been doing a remarkable job of striking what Russia can't defend. It will take time for the effects to compound, but compound they will and the pressure at the seams will keep increasing.
Oh, and another notable development is it looks like the EU is finally going to succeed in slapping down the Belgians and accessing Russia's >$210 billion in sovereign assets parked in Europe. I'll believe it when the funds start to roll, but it sure looks like Ukraine will be set for years.