Here are my 2 cents. I went through AFROTC and commissioned in 2006. In my graduating class, everyone who went for a pilot slot got one except for 4, three got navigator and one got air battle manager. The three navigator guys ended up getting upgraded to pilot before they commissioned but two guys in my commissioning class lost their pilot slots after they did their medical and one guy got a DUI and never commissioned. Granted, I think my year only 57% of the cadets nationwide in AFROTC got a pilot slot.

I had friends who went Navy ROTC and the rumor mill from there was about 80% nationwide getting a pilot slot, and those going into the Marines was a guaranteed pilot slot for those who qualified..... however....... I met a guy who went through Marine OCS with a "guaranteed' pilot slot and afterwards was told no more pilot slot, but he had the option to get out or go forward air controller so he got out.

Now, having said that, if I could have done it over again I would have tried to go to a guard unit straight out of college, but for some reason I thought I would like active duty better. Having said that, some of my best friends came out of my AFROTC unit.

The needs of the services always change and you could end up with a pilot slot or not if you go the ROTC route, but if you work hard you can definitely get it. Decent grades, positive attitude, good PT scores, and being a "yes" man along with being sharp and being highly involved will get you everywhere.

I was one of the unlucky ones to get medically DQ'ed and am now pursuing a civilian flying career as soon as my Air Force commitment is up. I've all but given up on the military route. A year ago, if given the opportunity to be a military aviator I would have taken it in a heartbeat, but after getting married and being on my first 6 month deployment, I would have to think long and hard if given the opportunity. Don't get me wrong, it has been a rewarding experience (especially the deployment), but there's a lot more to being a military officer than just being a pilot.