Originally Posted by
CX500T
Does anyone have a "by category" 23M7 count for a given month.
I could do a decent Fermi estimate on it.
Lower bound.. Number of 23M7s x 5:15 x a reasonable 30th percentile in category (some super senior 23M7 farmers, some lucky one offs lower)
Say 8 years for NBA, and 12 years for WBA
4 years for NBB, 10 years for WBB
That would give us our lower bound. Considering the median trip is probably 3 days here, 15:45 x number of 23M7s is the more realistic number.
Total cost would probably have a lower bound of 2x the 23m7, and realistic would be 2.5 or so x 23M7, since best case scenario, they are skipping coverage and hitting a RES, but for all the 23M7s that go as IAs or GSs, they are paying 2x on top of the 23M7 payout.
Couple beers into the evening, but If anyone has those numbers handy, I could do some fast math on it.
I did this for November based on the full 737 23M7 and extrapolated it out for the whole airline. 92M was my number for November. Based on 12.5 hours per trip average. What I saw in December was probably double just based on the 23M7 report on 12/31.