Originally Posted by
Swoopy
What I do know is that I received multiple interviews at ATP mins, so I lean towards the idea that the supply vs demand isn’t as bad as we think.
I think you are fooling yourself. WHEN were you getting all these interviews? And how many CJOs came out if these interviews? In 2022 and 2023 the majors were hiring 12-13 THOUSAND pilots a year. The last two years they’ve been under 5000, and a couple thousand of those are NK furloughees and refugees, not regional guys. And if you look at the guys who ARE getting hired, their class dates can be as much as six months out.
in the last quarter century the average hiring has been less than 3600 annually. Once the last of the baby boomers retire it’ll settle down to about the same. It’s called “reversion to the mean.”
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We may not see another splurge if hiring like 2022-23 for another quarter century.