Originally Posted by
merlinj79
I am concerned that it's giving an unrealistic expectation as to where Alaska pilots are going to wind up on the final list. I asked politely for a worst case for us scenario and that got the thread shut down.
Totally unrealistic Alaska worst case scenario (and again... I don't see ANY WAY that this would actually happen) would be going category and class based on WB, 321NEO (because it's a higher payrate than "737" at most other airlines), 737, and then 717.
In that case, based on todays numbers, you'd have 315 xHAL widebody captains at the top (78 on the freighter, 21 Seattle 787, 39 HNL 787, and 177 HNL 330), followed by 136 xHAL 321NEO captains. Then you'd have (based on the hawaksa merger site) 1757 xAlaska 737 captains, followed by 88 xHAL 717 captains.
On the FO side you'd have 412 xHAL Widebody FOs (70 from the 330F, 36 SEA787, 61 HNL787 and 345 HNL330), followed by 142 321 FOs, then 1596 737 FOs, and finally the 104 717 FOs.
Obviously having a 1991 xAlaska hire being 451 (which on the HAL side is a 2016 hire I think) down the list (or even 315 (2011 I think) down the list if you discount the 321NEO being a difference category than the 737) isn't a realistic thing.
But (unrealistic) worst case... yeah, that's probably it.