Originally Posted by
N39E002
Additionally, it's important to mention that there are no guarantees. While a transfer to a major airline from a fractional is likely to lead to a better long term life, nothing is certain.
A NJA pilot that went to Spirit years ago might be regretting their decision now.
Best case scenario it will take several years to break even and ideally you won't have to commute.
Good luck with your decisions.and opportunities.
NetJets shines when the airlines are all bankrupt. History has a funny way of repeating itself, unfortunately.
The Big Four (and probably AS too) are now quite literally too big to fail. Likely worst case, you could get furloughed for a while.
If any of those airlines actually liquidate, we'd have bigger problems anyway (WW-III, asteroid impact, etc).
With that said, going to bottom of a large list right now carries a non-trivial risk of furlough, but that's a calculation you'd have to make in light of the benefit over a career (remaining career duration matters). Good news is there are still enough retirements to get you at lease out of the furlough risk red zone relatively quickly.
WSJ is now reporting that the economy is looking more and more like a successful soft landing, so that plus retirements reduces furlough odds.